Fatores determinantes dos latrocínios na região metropolitana de Porto Alegre: uma análise econométrica

Abstract

High crime rates that result in deaths existing in Brazil and especially in Rio Grande do Sul, resulting economic and social losses such as insecurity, high costs and loss of legitimacy of the government. In this research, the economic theory of crime, with emphasis on the Becker study (1968) was fundamental to understand the determinants of robberies crime under econometric perspective. Thus, this thesis is to analyze the determinants of robberies of crime in the metropolitan region of Porto Alegre from 2000 to 2015. For this, we used the panel data model. The results for the dependent variable larceny in positive correlation point period analyzed the factors: women heads of household and the dropout rate from 18 to 24 years. Moreover, with a negative sign the result to gross domestic product, the occupancy rate (economically active population), the illiteracy rate and unexpectedly the child labor rate of 10 to 15 years. The main contribution of this work is to identify the factors that influence the robbery crime in MAPA, showing that it is possible and important to locate such indicators spatially so that guidelines for public policies to combat violence are defined and focused on geographical areas and specific target audience in order to ensure the effectiveness of their results..