Gestão de projetos ágeis: modelo probabilístico para a curva de performance de times que usam o método Scrum

Abstract

The pursuit of competitiveness among companies makes the rapid and successful implementation of projects a strategic advantage for generating value and differentiating products and services in the market. To understand how agile project management processes are applied, this work revisits basic project concepts and the main methods currently used in companies and places a special focus on the agile Scrum method applied in manufacturing projects. It is known that one of the determining factors for the success of a project managed under an agile management method is the development of the project team. From this knowledge, the stages of team building are analyzed using the Tuckman model. In this model, there is a team maturity curve that is related to project performance. Based on the studied themes, a question is raised about the probability that an agile team enters a steady state of delivery performance over time. Using agile project data from a manufacturing company, a mathematical model is proposed to establish the moment with the highest probability that a team reaches maturity. Finally, the final model is presented, considerations are made about its applicability, and recommendations are provided for accelerating team maturity.